why do I get zero likelihood!

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narges darvish
narges darvish on 5 Apr 2013
I am trying to use fmincon for optimizing my likelihood, but while I get the solutions the log likelihhod is zero and two of the parameters are equal to the specified initial values.
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Walter Roberson
Walter Roberson on 5 Apr 2013
Which exit status do you get?
narges darvish
narges darvish on 8 Apr 2013
Hi Walter, the exit is equal to one.

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Accepted Answer

Tom Lane
Tom Lane on 9 Apr 2013
Are you using the Statistics Toolbox mle function in combination with the Optimization Toolbox fmincon function? Can you try computing the pdf of your data using your initial parameter values, to make sure the pdf is positive for each data point?
One trick may be to make the distribution more diffuse as opposed to more concentrated. In the following example, the first mle invocation is successful using sigma=exp(3). The second fails using sigma=exp(0), because the data points are too far out in the tails of the normal distribution with mean 20 and standard deviation exp(0)=1.
x = randn(100,1);
mle(x,'pdf',@(c,mu,logs)normpdf(x,mu,exp(logs)),'start',[20 3],'optimfun','fmincon')
mle(x,'pdf',@(c,mu,logs)normpdf(x,mu,exp(logs)),'start',[20 0],'optimfun','fmincon')
  1 Comment
narges darvish
narges darvish on 10 Apr 2013
Thanks Tom, I am only using the Optimization toolbox. I think there was a problem with variables definition. I changed them to global and now it works, but I get zero exit!

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